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Home Deal Tracker Live Deal Opportunities

Predictive Deal Signals: Week of July 31, 2020

Corbin K by Corbin Kehrberg
July 31, 2020
in Deal Tracker, Live Deal Opportunities, Solar Start Ups
62 4
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Predictive Deal Signals: Week of July 31, 2020 - Design

analyzing various data points and funding rounds to predict which companies are ready for more solar capital or renewable energy funding

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Uncovering actionable deal opportunities for private equity, venture capital, angel investors, and investment bankers by reading the data, not the rumors. Highlighting 10 companies that have a high likelihood of being “in-market” for a transaction.

Pay close attention to the “Keywords of Interest” – these are terms the company is actively searching at 2x – 3x their normal baseline rate.

Previous Predictive Deal Issues:

Week of July 24, 2020 Week of July 17, 2020 Week of June 29, 2020 Week of June 19, 2020

Solar Mosaic, Inc.

Oakland, California, United States

Company Summary

Solar Mosaic is a marketplace for users to finance and create solar projects in communities. The company has developed a platform in solar finance by allowing individuals to buy into a collective solar project. Instead of purchasing solar panels, Mosaic allows users to buy into a solar project at a fraction of the cost, and be repaid over time for contributions.

Key Data Points
Founded 2009
Headcount 182
Funding to Date $749.43M
Last Round 2016
Last Round of Investors Deutsche Bank
Estimated Revenue $10M
CEO Billy Parish
85

Intent to Transact Score

Keywords of Interest

Business Loans

Ancillary Signals

Warehouse loan increased by $50MM
Milestone: homes impacted >100,000
Change in Management

Our Take

Solar Mosaic’s financing platform originates loans for private players from larger financial institutions. It is likely looking for a new line of credit from another major financial institution considering the last debt load was back in 2016. This line of credit will support its general business operations and will likely be larger than the previous round of $250M because of the business’ growth over the last four years. In the potential mandates section, we think that the advisory work in securing debt is the most likely engagement.

Potential Mandates

  • For Venture Funds: Potential exit opportunity of a portfolio company that operates under a similar/parallel business model to support the growth of Mosaic
  • For I-Bankers: Advisory work in securing debt
  • Strategics: Could be open to strategic investment from infrastructure group to improve EPC partnerships and negotiate more favorable loan terms

IQE

Cardiff, Wales, United Kingdom

Company Summary

IQE is a supplier of semiconductor wafers with products that cover a range of applications, supported by an innovative outsourced foundry services portfolio that allows the Group to provide for the wafer needs. IQE integrates the wafers with a variety of renewable energy solutions including solar cells and energy efficiency.

Key Data Points
Founded 1988
Headcount 650
Funding to Date $112M
Last Round 2017
Last Round of Investors NA
Estimated Revenue $176M
CEO Dr. Andrew Nelson
69

Intent to Transact Score

Keywords of Interest

Accounts Receivable Financing
Business Funding
Energy Capital

Ancillary Signals

Selected partner for UK Research SIPF
Unprofitable 2019: Net debt £16M
Wrapping up capital expenditure projects

Our Take

LSE:IQE needs cash and its likely that an institutional investor will supply it. Although the company claims to be having a profitable year, suffering the blow from 2019 will have a long term impact into 2021. There are still some solid opportunities for the group that will help it recover: 5G revolution and the solid growth in solar. If the team can execute valuable partnerships in these spaces, then the group will be in a strong position to take on some debt rather than selling post-IPO equity.

Potential Mandates

  • For Venture Funds: Potential exit of a portfolio company that could be a strategic investment for IQE
  • For I-Bankers: Advisory work in securing debt capital for IQE
  • Strategics: A strategic partnership to advance 5G and solar operations

Braemar Energy Ventures

New York, New York, United States

Company Summary

Braemar Energy Ventures is a VC firm that focuses exclusively on technology and communications opportunities in the energy sector. The firm makes early, ahead-of-the-curve bets in energy technology companies.

Key Data Points
Founded 2003
Headcount 11
Investment Amounts $10bn+
Last Investment General Fusion (Series E – 2019)
Last Investment Amount $65M
Number of Exits 12
CEO Neil S. Suslak
80

Intent to Transact Score

Keywords of Interest

Mergers and Acquisitions
Corporate Financing

Ancillary Signals

Active portfolio of 17 companies
Last fund raised 2012 ($300M)
$515M invested in 2018, $122M in 2019, $0 in 2020

Our Take

Based on the signals, Braemar is likely looking to exit its investments. The group likely has little to no dry powder and will either need to raise a new fund or have successful exits to finance new investments. They have poured a lot of money into and have been investing for quite a long time in Chargepoint and Brightvolt and could be looking to exit these companies.

Potential Mandates

  • For Venture Funds: Potential exit of portfolio company
  • For I-Bankers: Potential advisory in the sell of a portfolio company or the buy of a portfolio company for a strategic buyer/PE firm
  • Strategics: Could be open to raising new fund with strategic LPs

Solar Industries, Inc.

Tucson, Arizona, United States

Company Summary

Solar Industries is a building material company offering aluminium and vinyl windows. The company creates custom skylights with solar-integrated solutions in order to provide the best lighting to customers.

Key Data Points
Founded 1976
Headcount 110
Funding to Date $13M
Last Round 2012
Last Round of Investors Oman India Joint Investment Fund
Estimated Revenue $170M
CFO Aaron Thomas
63

Intent to Transact Score

Keywords of Interest

Capital Injection
Business Loans

Ancillary Signals

Loss of key executive in recent past
Diversified company with potentially non-core assets

Our Take

Solar Industries Inc. is actually a part of group of companies with varying levels of ownership by Donald Medoff that passed away in 2018. The business is primarily focused on manufacturing of residential finished goods with a heavy focus on energy efficient skylights, specialty glass and frames.

In addition, the company has/or had interests in commercial lines of business, trucking, manufacturing and strong dealer network with what appears to be a consolidated supply chain. Existing relationships with Great Western Bank, Hyg Financial Services, but could well be in need of additional lines of working capital or potential take out of old equity partner.

Potential Mandates

  • For I-Bankers: Potential multi-pronged effort to restructure balance sheet to position the company for growth with the right combination of debt and equity with the potential for a buy-side to expand it’s share of wallet
  • Strategics: Company has very strong footprint in Southwest and pairing with solar panel installation could be smart move, but the business is more likely a fit for a larger company in similar lines of business but lacking presence in Southwest
  • PE Firms: potential need for dividend recap or liquidity to fund company growth, and / or acquisitions
  • Alternative credit funds: most likely fit. Unitraunche + working capital lines with some upside could be what the company needs. Appears to have asset base, but maybe in the “no man’s land” of not enough assets for ABL, not enough cash flow for senior, and neither one would subordinate to the other.

Hoosier Energy

Bloomington, Indiana, United States

Company Summary

Hoosier Energy is a generation and transmission electric cooperative providing wholesale power and services to member distribution cooperatives. Their portfolio includes coal, natural gas and renewable energy resources that deliver power through a nearly 1,700-mile transmission network.

Key Data Points
Founded 1949
Headcount 145
Funding to Date N/A
Last Round N/A
Last Round of Investors N/A
Estimated Revenue $5M
CEO Donna Walker
68

Intent to Transact Score

Keywords of Interest

Venture Capital
Valuation

Ancillary Signals

Current energy mix is ~60% coal
By 2030: eliminate coal, 30% gas, 60% renewables
New CFO, VP Public Policy, Manager Economic Dev

Our Take

Hoosier is going green and they are likely looking to liquidate their coal assets. A valuation firm will likely be engaged to value the coal assets before sell. They may be seeking investors to buy these retiring assets, but not likely a VC firm.

Hoosier could be reaching out to VCs to build an expert network. Considering how coal heavy the portfolio is, the management team will have to act quickly and accurately to meet its 10 year goals. Bringing in new board members from VC shops could be a strategy to guide the overall thesis of building a gas and renewables focused portfolio of power generating assets.

Potential Mandates

  • For Venture Funds: VC partners to join the advisory board of Hoosier
  • For I-Bankers/Valuation shops: Valuation services and potential advisory in selling coal assets or buying/financing renewable/gas assets
  • Strategics: Could be open to a strategic public/private partnership to develop a renewable, reliable, cost-effective grid for the local area of Bloomington
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Tags: Aboitiz Equity VenturesBraemar Energy VenturesConsorcio EnergéticoCustomized Energy SolutionsFenix InternationalHoosier EnergyIQENexamppredictive insightsSolar IndustriesSolar Mosaic
Corbin K

Corbin Kehrberg

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